"The Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina points to positive expectations of inflation trends for 2024 and 2025, and it is considered that a further drop in inflation will affect the improvement of the economic situation.
The expected aggregated inflation for the year that began is 5.8%, which implies a slight decline compared to 2023, when survey participants, according to the September survey, predicted an average inflation of 7.9%.
Inflation expectations in the first round for 2025 amount to 5.5%, which leads to the conclusion that a further drop in inflation is expected, given that inflationary pressures in the past year were far above the multi-year average.
Inflation as a basic determinant of decision-making.
It is evident, states the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, that inflation trends are influenced by internal and external factors, which results in differences in expected inflation, not only in the country itself, but also between countries in general.
Inflation as a macroeconomic indicator continues to represent the basic determinant of decision-making by consumers, financial institutions, the state and other participants in the macroeconomic system.
In this regard, the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as an important segment of the communication strategy, regularly conducts a survey on inflationary expectations, with the aim of analyzing and continuously monitoring the inflationary expectations of economic entities. The survey participants are representatives of the financial sector, commercial banks and insurance companies."
Sources:
IMF (2024),
Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (2024),
The World Bank (2024),
Centralna Banka BiH (2024),
Agencija za statistiku BiH (2024)
2024. | 2025. | 2026. | 2027. | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Money value | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Bank savings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Real Estate Investment value | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
As is already known, the highest inflation was recorded in 2022. In accordance with official data and economic trends, it is predicted that in the coming period, inflation in BiH will have a slight decline on an annual basis.
Sources:
Centralna Banka BiH (2024) Godišnji Bilten, www.cbba.ba
Agencija za statistiku BiH (2024) Generalni indikatori, www.bhas.gov.ba
BiH has been recording a significant increase in the deficit in the turnover of goods and services for a number of years, and it is predicted that these parameters will not change significantly in the coming period.
Currency: EUR
Values: in .000
Sources:
Centralna Banka BiH (2024) Godišnji Bilten, www.cbba.ba
Agencija za statistiku BiH (2024) Generalni indikatori, www.bhas.gov.ba
The stagnation of the gross domestic product, gross investments and consumption of the population has been recorded for many years.
Currency: EUR
Values: in .000
Sources:
Centralna Banka BiH (2024) Godišnji Bilten, www.cbba.ba
Agencija za statistiku BiH (2024) Generalni indikatori, www.bhas.gov.ba
As a result of its analysis in February 2023, the Standard & Poor's agency confirmed Bosnia and Herzegovina's sovereign credit rating "B+ with stable outlook". In July 2022, the agency Moody's Investors Service confirmed Bosnia and Herzegovina's sovereign credit rating of "B3 with a stable outlook".
Sources:
Centralna Banka BiH (2024) Godišnji Bilten, www.cbba.ba
The price of construction works per m2 in 2022 was slightly lower compared to 2021. Nevertheless, in 2023, an increase in the construction price per m2 was recorded.
Currency: EUR
Sources:
Federalni zavod za statistiku (2024), https://fzs.ba/
Republički zavod za statistiku (2024), https://www.rzs.rs.ba/
Year after year, an increase in overnight stays / tourist arrivals is recorded in BiH. Thus, in 2023, a growth of almost 40% compared to 2022 was recorded.
Currency: EUR
Sources:
Agency for Statistics in BiH (2024)
We still have very low interest rates on deposits (savings) in Bosnia and Herzegovina.
Sources:
Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (2024)
Interest rates on loans have been fairly stable over the last period of time.
Sources:
Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina (2024)